Inflation
Straight Talk on the Treasury Market
Who’s buying? Who’s selling? What about the deficit? Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the dynamics and mechanics roiling the US Treasury market.
US Inflation Tracker
US Inflation Tracker highlights key indicators related to personal consumption, supply chain dynamics, housing, wage pressures and inflation expectations.
Fixed Income Yields and Drivers
Portfolio consultants discuss inflation, interest rates and current bond yields, with a focus on the drivers that could push yields lower or higher.
Cruel September
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz examines seasonality patterns and the rise in bond yields, oil, and the dollar that weighed on risk assets in September.
Psst… Check Out Small Cap Stocks
Valuations, positive momentum, technical support and a likely soft landing are converging to favor small company stocks over the next few months.
Credit Where It’s Due
Robust US growth, strong corporate balance sheets and persistent consumer spending have helped high yield securities and bank loans outperform this year.
Bullwhips and the Extrapolation Effect
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains why extrapolating current market trends into the future based on the bullwhip effect may be misguided.
Macro Insights: About That Recession…
Portfolio strategists analyze macro storylines in the third quarter including growth, inflation, the strength of the US consumer, and the outlook for rates.
Portfolio Construction: Growth & Cyclical Stocks
Portfolio consultants explain how they align equity investments with their current economic outlook using a growth/cyclical barbell strategy.
Recession Outlook: Going, Going, Gone
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the shifting recession narrative, labor and inflation trends, and the Fed’s pathway to a soft landing.
Longer Duration Driving Opportunity in Muni Bonds
Loomis Sayles’ Dawn Mangerson explains significant Fed action, reduced supply, and strong demand leading to the first-ever municipal yield curve inversion.
Market Catalysts: Made in the USA
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses potential market tailwinds, FOMO, a US capital spending boom, and prospects for a strong second half.
Midyear Outlook: Eve of Disruption?
Portfolio strategists offer their take on investor misperceptions, inflation and the Fed’s pause, market tailwinds, and tactical allocation opportunities.
Fixed Income Outlook: More Yield to Be Had?
An interest rate reset, disciplined companies with low potential losses, duration views, opportunities, and risks are shared by our fixed income managers.
Bear Market Still in Hibernation
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz offers his take on inflation, the Fed, labor trends, liquidity fears and narrow market breadth.
Shifting Winds – and Fed Pause, Not Pivot
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz provides his take on the Fed’s May meeting, corporate earnings season, and some underappreciated economic tailwinds.
Higher for How Much Longer?
Portfolio strategists offer their take on the changing macro narrative in the first quarter, the banking crisis, and prospects for a soft or hard landing.
March 22 Fed Meeting Recap
Portfolio Strategist Garrett Melson offers his analysis of the March 22 Fed meeting.
Listen to Our Experts Explain the Framework
Analysis that combines inflation and growth cycle trends may provide a more nuanced way to understand stock market drivers.
5 Trends in Model Investment Portfolios – Year-End 2022
See which trends influenced financial advisors’ asset allocation decisions in their moderate model portfolios in the second half of 2022.
Is Inflation Poised to Roll Over?
Analysis of key inflation components including transportation, housing and health insurance shows areas where prices may be heading lower in the year ahead.
Does the Data Cry Recession?
While consensus opinion continues to say inflation is sticky, growth is slowing and recession is inevitable, the data may be telling a different story.
Inflation Inaction?
While inflation has surged to 40-year highs, our analysis shows that advisors have been hesitant to allocate to sectors known for inflation resiliency.
Positioning Portfolios for Fading Inflation
As year-over-year inflation shows signs of peaking, investors may want to revisit portfolio allocations.
5 Midyear Trends in Model Investment Portfolios – Summer 2022
As correlations and inflation spiked in the first half of 2022, the best performing investment portfolios held inflation-protection assets, alternatives – and cash.
Inflation Protection: An Equity-Centric View
Historical analysis highlights which equity sectors and strategies fare best when inflation heats up.
Bank Loan Basics: An Income Diversifier for All Times
An introduction to bank loans and their benefits: seniority, security, floating interest rates, and diversification for the short or long term.