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Straight Talk on the Treasury Market

Who’s buying? Who’s selling? What about the deficit? Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the dynamics and mechanics roiling the US Treasury market.

November 17, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
US Inflation Tracker

US Inflation Tracker highlights key indicators related to personal consumption, supply chain dynamics, housing, wage pressures and inflation expectations.

November 17, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz - Garrett Melson
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Fixed Income Yields and Drivers

Portfolio consultants discuss inflation, interest rates and current bond yields, with a focus on the drivers that could push yields lower or higher.

October 18, 2023 Mark J. Cintolo - Kevin McCullough
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Cruel September

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz examines seasonality patterns and the rise in bond yields, oil, and the dollar that weighed on risk assets in September.

October 13, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
Psst… Check Out Small Cap Stocks

Valuations, positive momentum, technical support and a likely soft landing are converging to favor small company stocks over the next few months.

September 29, 2023 Gregory V. Kanarian Financial Professional content – requires login
Credit Where It’s Due

Robust US growth, strong corporate balance sheets and persistent consumer spending have helped high yield securities and bank loans outperform this year.

September 15, 2023 Kevin McCullough Financial Professional content – requires login
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Bullwhips and the Extrapolation Effect

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains why extrapolating current market trends into the future based on the bullwhip effect may be misguided.

September 15, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
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Macro Insights: About That Recession…

Portfolio strategists analyze macro storylines in the third quarter including growth, inflation, the strength of the US consumer, and the outlook for rates.

September 12, 2023 Brian Hess - Jack Janasiewicz - Garrett Melson
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Portfolio Construction: Growth & Cyclical Stocks

Portfolio consultants explain how they align equity investments with their current economic outlook using a growth/cyclical barbell strategy.

August 25, 2023 Mark J. Cintolo - Sean Kaukas
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Recession Outlook: Going, Going, Gone

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the shifting recession narrative, labor and inflation trends, and the Fed’s pathway to a soft landing.

August 18, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
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Longer Duration Driving Opportunity in Muni Bonds

Loomis Sayles’ Dawn Mangerson explains significant Fed action, reduced supply, and strong demand leading to the first-ever municipal yield curve inversion.

August 10, 2023 Dawn Daggy-Mangerson
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Market Catalysts: Made in the USA

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses potential market tailwinds, FOMO, a US capital spending boom, and prospects for a strong second half.

July 17, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
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Midyear Outlook: Eve of Disruption?

Portfolio strategists offer their take on investor misperceptions, inflation and the Fed’s pause, market tailwinds, and tactical allocation opportunities.

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Fixed Income Outlook: More Yield to Be Had?

An interest rate reset, disciplined companies with low potential losses, duration views, opportunities, and risks are shared by our fixed income managers.

June 26, 2023
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Bear Market Still in Hibernation

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz offers his take on inflation, the Fed, labor trends, liquidity fears and narrow market breadth.

June 15, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
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Shifting Winds – and Fed Pause, Not Pivot

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz provides his take on the Fed’s May meeting, corporate earnings season, and some underappreciated economic tailwinds.

May 11, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
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Higher for How Much Longer?

Portfolio strategists offer their take on the changing macro narrative in the first quarter, the banking crisis, and prospects for a soft or hard landing.

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March 22 Fed Meeting Recap

Portfolio Strategist Garrett Melson offers his analysis of the March 22 Fed meeting.

March 23, 2023 Garrett Melson
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Listen to Our Experts Explain the Framework

Analysis that combines inflation and growth cycle trends may provide a more nuanced way to understand stock market drivers.

March 15, 2023 Mark J. Cintolo - Sean Kaukas
5 Trends in Model Investment Portfolios – Year-End 2022

See which trends influenced financial advisors’ asset allocation decisions in their moderate model portfolios in the second half of 2022.

March 14, 2023 Gregory V. Kanarian Financial Professional content – requires login
Is Inflation Poised to Roll Over?

Analysis of key inflation components including transportation, housing and health insurance shows areas where prices may be heading lower in the year ahead.

December 9, 2022 Sean Kaukas
Does the Data Cry Recession?

While consensus opinion continues to say inflation is sticky, growth is slowing and recession is inevitable, the data may be telling a different story.

December 2, 2022 Jack Janasiewicz - Garrett Melson
Inflation Inaction?

While inflation has surged to 40-year highs, our analysis shows that advisors have been hesitant to allocate to sectors known for inflation resiliency.

November 9, 2022 Gregory V. Kanarian
Positioning Portfolios for Fading Inflation

As year-over-year inflation shows signs of peaking, investors may want to revisit portfolio allocations.

October 7, 2022 Mark J. Cintolo - Sean Kaukas
5 Midyear Trends in Model Investment Portfolios – Summer 2022

As correlations and inflation spiked in the first half of 2022, the best performing investment portfolios held inflation-protection assets, alternatives – and cash.

August 18, 2022 Mark J. Cintolo Financial Professional content – requires login
Inflation Protection: An Equity-Centric View

Historical analysis highlights which equity sectors and strategies fare best when inflation heats up.

April 12, 2022 Mark J. Cintolo - Sean Kaukas
Bank Loan Basics: An Income Diversifier for All Times

An introduction to bank loans and their benefits: seniority, security, floating interest rates, and diversification for the short or long term.

March 4, 2022