Inflation

Who’s buying? Who’s selling? What about the deficit? Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the dynamics and mechanics roiling the US Treasury market.

US Inflation Tracker highlights key indicators related to personal consumption, supply chain dynamics, housing, wage pressures and inflation expectations.

Portfolio consultants discuss inflation, interest rates and current bond yields, with a focus on the drivers that could push yields lower or higher.

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz examines seasonality patterns and the rise in bond yields, oil, and the dollar that weighed on risk assets in September.

Valuations, positive momentum, technical support and a likely soft landing are converging to favor small company stocks over the next few months.

Robust US growth, strong corporate balance sheets and persistent consumer spending have helped high yield securities and bank loans outperform this year.

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains why extrapolating current market trends into the future based on the bullwhip effect may be misguided.

Portfolio strategists analyze macro storylines in the third quarter including growth, inflation, the strength of the US consumer, and the outlook for rates.

Portfolio consultants explain how they align equity investments with their current economic outlook using a growth/cyclical barbell strategy.

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the shifting recession narrative, labor and inflation trends, and the Fed’s pathway to a soft landing.

Loomis Sayles’ Dawn Mangerson explains significant Fed action, reduced supply, and strong demand leading to the first-ever municipal yield curve inversion.

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses potential market tailwinds, FOMO, a US capital spending boom, and prospects for a strong second half.

Portfolio strategists offer their take on investor misperceptions, inflation and the Fed’s pause, market tailwinds, and tactical allocation opportunities.

An interest rate reset, disciplined companies with low potential losses, duration views, opportunities, and risks are shared by our fixed income managers.

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz offers his take on inflation, the Fed, labor trends, liquidity fears and narrow market breadth.

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz provides his take on the Fed’s May meeting, corporate earnings season, and some underappreciated economic tailwinds.

Portfolio strategists offer their take on the changing macro narrative in the first quarter, the banking crisis, and prospects for a soft or hard landing.

Portfolio Strategist Garrett Melson offers his analysis of the March 22 Fed meeting.

Analysis that combines inflation and growth cycle trends may provide a more nuanced way to understand stock market drivers.

See which trends influenced financial advisors’ asset allocation decisions in their moderate model portfolios in the second half of 2022.

Analysis of key inflation components including transportation, housing and health insurance shows areas where prices may be heading lower in the year ahead.

While consensus opinion continues to say inflation is sticky, growth is slowing and recession is inevitable, the data may be telling a different story.

While inflation has surged to 40-year highs, our analysis shows that advisors have been hesitant to allocate to sectors known for inflation resiliency.

As year-over-year inflation shows signs of peaking, investors may want to revisit portfolio allocations.

As correlations and inflation spiked in the first half of 2022, the best performing investment portfolios held inflation-protection assets, alternatives – and cash.

Historical analysis highlights which equity sectors and strategies fare best when inflation heats up.

An introduction to bank loans and their benefits: seniority, security, floating interest rates, and diversification for the short or long term.