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Labor market improves, but job searches stay tough

September 16, 2026

Recent labor data have eased concerns about a sharp deterioration in employment conditions. Yet signs of stabilization have not produced a decisive rebound in labor demand, leaving the outlook for job seekers less encouraging. “Labor market momentum has improved, but activity remains tepid, suggesting that right tail may not be as fat as the labor market bulls believe,” says Garrett Melson, CFA®, Portfolio Strategist, Natixis Investment Managers Solutions.

Unemployment Duration (1/31/92-8/31/26)
Unemployment Duration Trends with Recession Periods Source: Bloomberg.
  • The average and median duration of unemployment continue to move higher.

  • JOLTS data suggest that labor demand remains subdued.

  • Elevated readings from the Conference Board’s Labor Differential point to a challenging environment for job seekers.

JOLTS is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.

CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are registered trademarks owned by the CFA Institute.

This material is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. The views and opinions contained herein reflect the subjective judgments and assumptions of the authors only and do not necessarily reflect the views of Natixis Investment Managers, or any of its affiliates. The views and opinions expressed may change based on market and other conditions. There can be no assurance that developments will transpire as forecasted, and actual results may vary.

All investing involves risk, including the risk of loss. Investment risk exists with equity, fixed income, and alternative investments. There is no assurance that any investment will meet its performance objectives or that losses will be avoided. Investors should fully understand the risks associated with any investment prior to investing.

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