When it comes to portfolio construction, you need to get the big decisions right, and there is no bigger decision than asset allocation. Asset allocation acts as a portfolio’s foundation, and without a sound foundation, the entire structure collapses. So where to begin when constructing an asset allocation? And if the foundation is already built, how can you determine whether it is sound?
Getting started with asset allocation
The most intuitive place to start is with the desired risk profile. This is determined by risk tolerance and time horizon. Based on the selected risk profile, an investor or advisor can select the appropriate benchmark. A common benchmark for a moderate risk tolerance, US-based investor is a global 60% MSCI All Country World Index/40% Barclays Aggregate Bond Index. While an argument can be made that this benchmark is outdated given subdued outlooks for equity and fixed income, the global 60/40 has stood the test of time and is universally accepted.
For a benchmark-relative strategy, there are two investment objectives providing tension in the asset allocation process: outperforming the benchmark and keeping tracking error within an acceptable range. While a higher tracking error can raise the odds of outperformance, it also raises the odds of diverging significantly from the benchmark.
There are two distinct levers driving excess return and tracking error in an asset allocation: relative asset class weights and out-of-benchmark asset class bets. To operate the two levers effectively, the benchmark must be broken out into asset class components with appropriate weights. Figure 1 shows the current asset class breakout for our global 60/40 benchmark.