Recent narrowing of US market breadth – the stock market’s upward movement driven by a shrinking number of leading stocks – has caused jitters among investors. Garrett Melson, CFA®, Portfolio Strategist, at Natixis Investment Managers Solutions, points out that the Magnificent 7 are certainly doing a lot of the lifting at the index level, but excluding these names the index is still up over 13% for the year – better than the average annualized return of the total market.* “There’s a whole lot more bark than bite to this narrow market narrative. Top heavy? Sure. Narrow? Not terribly so. And that’s more the rule than the exception,” said Melson.
- The Mag 7 have surged over 21% YTD (through Nov. 7), even after the recent pullback.*
- Even the Russell 2000 has posted 9% gains, after recouping April’s Liberation Day sell-off.*
- “If the S&P 493 (S&P 500® excluding Mag 7), equal-weighted S&P 500®, and Russell 2000 are all sitting within reach of all-time highs after last week’s pullback, the market probably isn’t as narrow as the narrative would have you believe,” said Melson.
- He believes market action the first week of November could be a healthy rotation as both defensive and cyclical sectors fared far better than tech – with real estate, healthcare, and financials positive over that time.*
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
* Source: Bloomberg
Mag7 refers to a group of seven major technology stocks that heavily influence U.S. market performance.
The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities. The index includes 500 leading companies and covers approximately 80% of available market capitalization.
Russell 2000® Index is an unmanaged index that measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe.
CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are registered trademarks owned by the CFA Institute.
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