2022 Millionaire Report

The million dollar question – How much do I need to retire?

Ask someone how much they’ll need to be financially secure in retirement and you’re likely to get a nice round number – like one million dollars. In abstract terms, seven figures may sound like an audacious goal that, once achieved, should put investors on the road to a secure retirement. In reality, though, a cool million may be only table stakes in funding a retirement that could last 25–30 years.

To get a better fix on the level of security that this big number can provide, we tapped the 1,617 individuals who already have accumulated $1 million or more in investable assets who participated in the 2021 Natixis Global Survey of Individual Investors. We found that on the surface most (79%) say they will be financially secure in retirement, but deeper down they are far less confident.

In fact, millionaires were nearly as likely to say it will take a miracle to achieve a secure retirement (35%) as investors overall (40%). One key reason may be that the million-dollar mark may not be as significant as it once was.

A million ain’t what it used to be

The millionaire handle has always held a certain mystique. But over time, the picture of wealth it paints has changed dramatically. Where our grandparents may have envisioned the Monopoly guy – Uncle Pennybags – as a millionaire, we’re more likely to think of our neighbors. Gone are the top hat, morning suit and spats and in their place are a pair of jeans, running shoes, and a comfortable sweater.

It’s not that a million dollars isn’t a lot – it’s still the qualifier for most definitions of High-Net-Worth Individuals (HNWI) – it’s just that there are a lot more millionaires. In fact, Capgemini’s World Wealth Report shows that the number of individuals at this asset level globally has nearly doubled from 10.9 million in 2010 to 20.8 million in 2020. That report finds large numbers of millionaires in North America (6.98 million), Asia (6.9 million) and Europe (5.36 million) alike.¹

The rich are different from you and me

They have more money. But that may not make a difference in how they feel about their chances of achieving a secure retirement. Within the Natixis survey group, high-net-worth individuals report that they have accumulated more than four times the median assets of the overall population ($2 million vs. $450,000). But when it comes to their retirement savings, they are not as far ahead.

In fact, HNWI in the survey report median retirement savings of $625,000, which, while good, comes out to just 2.5 times the $250,000 median retirement savings of the overall survey population. Similarly, while an average retirement savings rate of 19.4% is impressive, it is still just under three percent higher than the overall average of 16.6%. As a result, it appears that while the numbers look good, the difference is not great enough to merit any substantial difference in sentiment.

Work poses big questions for millionaires, too

Banking $625,000 for retirement should elicit some level of confidence about the future – such as the 79% who say they will be financially secure in retirement – but it is not enough to remove lingering doubts about what the future may actually hold. In fact, like other investors, those in the high-net-worth group have many questions.

Employment raises a significant issue for this group. Even though they plan on retiring at the relatively early age of 63, almost six in ten (58%) say they accept the fact that they may have to work longer than they plan. This underscores one of the key problems of retirement planning, the unpredictability.

Any number of factors could demand working more years than planned: a change in finances, health issues that require extended insurance coverage, needing additional income to care for an elderly parent or support an adult child.

But as much as having to work longer can be an unforeseen challenge, 44% in this group worry they may not be able to keep working as long as they’d like. A late career layoff, or stepping aside to care for family, can have just as much impact on retirement security.

Looking at a complex financial picture that may require dramatic changes can pose even greater challenges, and 36% worry that retirement may not even be an option. The pressures are real, even for high-net-worth investors, and they can feel overwhelming. In fact, 42% of those surveyed are so worried about retirement security that they avoid thinking about it altogether.

Economic threats are growing

Even as they plan and save for retirement, high-net-worth investors recognize that there will be factors out of their own control that pose a threat to their security. Ranking near the top of the list is the viability of public retirement benefits, which even for higher-net-worth investors factor into retirement plans.

Public debt looms large

In fact, three-quarters of wealthy investors are convinced that the high levels of public debt we see today will result in lower payments from public benefits in the future. This concern may actually weigh most heavily on the shoulders of the 38% of investors with one million plus in assets who say it will be hard to make ends meet without public benefits.

Why, many may wonder, would someone worth a million dollars worry about public benefit reductions? It comes down to a matter of scale. Reaching that magic one-million-dollar level may not translate into the comfortable lifestyle some may assume.

If retirees want to ensure their nest egg lasts 20 years or more, they’ll need to moderate withdrawals. Most commonly, retirement income strategies call for taking 4% of assets as income in the first year of retirement and then only 4% plus the rate of inflation each year for future withdrawals. With a $1 million balance, this comes down to an income of just $40,000 as a starting point – a figure that is likely to be well below pre-retirement income for many. This is why investment professionals and financial planners recommend a three-pronged approach to retirement income that taps retirement savings, personal savings, and public benefits.

Inflation eating away at income plans

Nearly seven in ten also see inflation as a threat. After experiencing the highest inflation in 40 years, investors are wise to recognize the impact that rising prices can have on their finances in retirement. Essentially, when things cost more, their savings will not go as far.

While rapid increases in the cost of food and energy have been key inflation challenges in 2022, there are other costs that concern high-net-worth investors. Rising healthcare costs in particular pose a challenge. In fact, 65% of this group worry that healthcare and long-term care costs will impact their financial security in retirement.

Interest rates a low point

Compounding the problems posed by rising prices are the limitations of low interest rates. Low rates may seem like an ideal environment for consumers looking to finance big ticket items like homes and cars, but they’re a big challenge for retirees. In retirement, low rates impede investors’ ability to annuitize assets, leaving many with an income that is less than ideal. In fact, 58% of high-net-worth respondents recognize that low rates will make it difficult to generate an income off their savings.

While central banks have upped rates to combat rising inflation in 2022, the hikes will not bring immediate relief to retirees. It’s important to note that even while higher rates could mean higher levels of income in the future, it also means that bonds that pay less could lose their value. And even though rates have increased, the Fed has only gone to 3.25%, the Bank of England to 2.25%, and the European Central Bank has only recently brought rates up to 0.75%, none of which translates into a tremendous income boost.²

Further compounding the problem is the spike in market volatility brought on by the combination of a 40-year high in inflation and interest rate hikes. Market turbulence can unnerve even high-net-worth investors. In fact, 56% of those surveyed believe market volatility undermines their ability to reach their retirement goals.

A tough year to retire

When it comes down to it, two of the fears expressed by high-net-worth respondents have come home to roost in 2022, making it a tough year to retire. With inflation high and rates going up, markets have become volatile, with the S&P 500^® down as much as 23%.³

Those opting to retire in 2022 will not only be taking income from a retirement pot that could be down 10%–20% or more, but higher costs will mean they have to take more from their pot to cover expenses and will need to go beyond the traditional 4% plan. With their savings depleted faster than anticipated, it will be hard for retirees to recover their assets, as they have less time and may have a lower risk tolerance.

What the pros know

It would seem that the millionaire population is concerned about the right issues when it comes to their retirement plans. The 2022 Natixis Global Survey of Financial Professionals⁴ asked 2,700 advisors and planners in 16 countries for the biggest mistakes investors can make in their retirement plans. Their top five mistakes add up to a challenge for even the wealthiest investors.