Inflation
US Inflation Tracker
US Inflation Tracker highlights key indicators related to personal consumption, supply chain dynamics, housing, wage pressures and inflation expectations.
Shifting Winds – and Fed Pause, Not Pivot
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz provides his take on the Fed’s May meeting, corporate earnings season, and some underappreciated economic tailwinds.
Bank Failures and Narrative Whiplash
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz offers his thoughts on the banking crisis, the Fed’s response, and where the markets and economy may go from here.
Higher for How Much Longer?
Portfolio strategists offer their take on the changing macro narrative in the first quarter, the banking crisis, and prospects for a soft or hard landing.
A Two-Part Framework to Explain Equity Performance
Analysis that combines inflation and growth cycle trends may provide a more nuanced way to understand stock market drivers.
The Market Giveth, the Market Taketh
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains how surprisingly strong data prints disrupted the markets in February.
Goldilocks vs. the Bears
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz believes jobs data and the Federal Reserve’s most recent comments may be “just right” for an economic soft landing.
Disinflation Pipeline and the Phillips Curve Fed
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains why divergences in global monetary policy could be a key differentiator for asset class returns in 2023.
Runway for a Soft Landing?
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the equity market’s November pivot, signs of deflation, the Fed’s two-sided risks, and policy changes in China.
Outlook or Look Out! Macro Analysis for 2023
Portfolio strategists look ahead to the capital market forces in play for 2023, from inflation and Fed policy to asset headwinds, tailwinds and risks.
Public Enemy #1: Inflation
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz reviews October’s positive stock market performance, mixed economic data, and the Fed’s ongoing battle to tame inflation.
5 Ways to Prepare Your Bond Portfolio for a Recession
As rising rates and inflation lead to fears of recession, there are steps investors can take to make fixed income holdings more resilient within their bond portfolios.
King Dollar and the Double Whammy
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains how the strong dollar, global energy shock, and no end in sight for rate hikes are roiling the capital markets.
Positioning Portfolios for Fading Inflation
As year-over-year inflation shows signs of peaking, investors may want to revisit portfolio allocations.
Are We There Yet? Pulse Check: Macro, Markets & Inflation
Portfolio strategists discuss topics including the path of inflation, supply chain dynamics, dollar strength and the markets’ reactions.
From the Consultants’ Desk: Quantitative Tightening & Bonds
If the Federal Reserve is no longer buying bonds, what happens to bond prices?
Will There Be a Recession in 2022?
Portfolio analysts evaluate key economic indicators and historical data to assess the likelihood of a US recession in the next 12 months.
Inflation Protection: An Equity-Centric View
Historical analysis highlights which equity sectors and strategies fare best when inflation heats up.