US Inflation Tracker

US Inflation Tracker highlights key indicators related to personal consumption, supply chain dynamics, housing, wage pressures and inflation expectations.

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Shifting Winds – and Fed Pause, Not Pivot

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz provides his take on the Fed’s May meeting, corporate earnings season, and some underappreciated economic tailwinds.

May 11, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
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Bank Failures and Narrative Whiplash

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz offers his thoughts on the banking crisis, the Fed’s response, and where the markets and economy may go from here.

April 12, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
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Higher for How Much Longer?

Portfolio strategists offer their take on the changing macro narrative in the first quarter, the banking crisis, and prospects for a soft or hard landing.

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A Two-Part Framework to Explain Equity Performance

Analysis that combines inflation and growth cycle trends may provide a more nuanced way to understand stock market drivers.

March 15, 2023 Mark J. Cintolo - Sean Kaukas
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The Market Giveth, the Market Taketh

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains how surprisingly strong data prints disrupted the markets in February.

March 10, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
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Goldilocks vs. the Bears

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz believes jobs data and the Federal Reserve’s most recent comments may be “just right” for an economic soft landing.

February 14, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
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Disinflation Pipeline and the Phillips Curve Fed

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains why divergences in global monetary policy could be a key differentiator for asset class returns in 2023.

January 10, 2023 Jack Janasiewicz
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Runway for a Soft Landing?

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the equity market’s November pivot, signs of deflation, the Fed’s two-sided risks, and policy changes in China.

December 14, 2022 Jack Janasiewicz
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Outlook or Look Out! Macro Analysis for 2023

Portfolio strategists look ahead to the capital market forces in play for 2023, from inflation and Fed policy to asset headwinds, tailwinds and risks.

December 9, 2022 Jack Janasiewicz - Garrett Melson
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Public Enemy #1: Inflation

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz reviews October’s positive stock market performance, mixed economic data, and the Fed’s ongoing battle to tame inflation.

November 8, 2022 Jack Janasiewicz
5 Ways to Prepare Your Bond Portfolio for a Recession

As rising rates and inflation lead to fears of recession, there are steps investors can take to make fixed income holdings more resilient within their bond portfolios.

November 3, 2022 Mark J. Cintolo Financial Professional content – requires login
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King Dollar and the Double Whammy

Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains how the strong dollar, global energy shock, and no end in sight for rate hikes are roiling the capital markets.

October 11, 2022 Jack Janasiewicz
Positioning Portfolios for Fading Inflation

As year-over-year inflation shows signs of peaking, investors may want to revisit portfolio allocations.

October 7, 2022 Mark J. Cintolo - Sean Kaukas
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Are We There Yet? Pulse Check: Macro, Markets & Inflation

Portfolio strategists discuss topics including the path of inflation, supply chain dynamics, dollar strength and the markets’ reactions.

September 15, 2022 Jack Janasiewicz - Garrett Melson
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From the Consultants’ Desk: Quantitative Tightening & Bonds

If the Federal Reserve is no longer buying bonds, what happens to bond prices?

Will There Be a Recession in 2022?

Portfolio analysts evaluate key economic indicators and historical data to assess the likelihood of a US recession in the next 12 months.

May 23, 2022 Sean Kaukas - Kevin McCullough
Inflation Protection: An Equity-Centric View

Historical analysis highlights which equity sectors and strategies fare best when inflation heats up.

April 12, 2022 Mark J. Cintolo - Sean Kaukas