Highlights

  • As traders and professional prognosticators debate the odds of a hard, soft or no landing, the unspoken question remains: Is the market through the worst of it?
  • This analysis of five-year returns following previous bear market drawdowns provides some context to help set expectations.
  • The good news for long-term investors is that many recent drivers of short-term market swings may not matter over their time horizons – but there is likely to be additional volatility ahead.
  • Investors seeking a smoother ride than the equity market may find low volatility index option-writing strategies to be a compelling alternative.
  • Using index options for risk reduction and risk-adjusted return enhancement may appeal to risk-averse long-term investors who are no longer satisfied with what the bond market has to offer.

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