Markets
Lower, Not Low: An Examination of Recent Volatility Trends
Fixed Income Framework: Cyclicality vs. Inflation
US Inflation Tracker
US Inflation Tracker highlights key indicators related to personal consumption, supply chain dynamics, housing, wage pressures and inflation expectations.
Shifting Winds – and Fed Pause, Not Pivot
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz provides his take on the Fed’s May meeting, corporate earnings season, and some underappreciated economic tailwinds.
Capitalizing on Steady Turbulence
Current interest rate and volatility dynamics enable index options-based strategies to generate meaningful cash flow and improved risk-adjusted return.
Between Rocky Volatility and an Inflationary Hard Place
Gateway’s Chief Investment Strategist analyzes historical bond market data for clues to real returns in high-inflation environments.
Bank Failures and Narrative Whiplash
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz offers his thoughts on the banking crisis, the Fed’s response, and where the markets and economy may go from here.
Higher for How Much Longer?
Portfolio strategists offer their take on the changing macro narrative in the first quarter, the banking crisis, and prospects for a soft or hard landing.
Implications of Credit Suisse Takeover by UBS for Bond Investors
Why UBS took over Credit Suisse, what AT1 bonds are, and how bond investors globally may be impacted are explained by Loomis Sayles Credit Research.
Can Confidence in the Financial System Be Restored?
As central banks look to restore confidence in the financial system, chances of a full-blown recession and winners and losers of the crisis are analyzed.
March Madness: Top Picks for Fixed Income Investing
Which bond category has what it takes to outperform in the current landscape? Check out sector analysis and fixed income investing bracketology.
The Market Giveth, the Market Taketh
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains how surprisingly strong data prints disrupted the markets in February.
Historical Analysis of Market Drawdowns
Gateway’s Chief Investment Strategist analyzes 60 years of stock market data following significant drawdowns for clues to performance in 2023 and beyond.
Option Writing Premiums: Bright Spot in a Dark Year
Gateway’s Chief Investment Strategist describes how the volatility across stocks and bonds in 2022 was beneficial for index option writing strategies.
Goldilocks vs. the Bears
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz believes jobs data and the Federal Reserve’s most recent comments may be “just right” for an economic soft landing.
Looking Beyond High Yield Bonds for Higher Returns
See how the higher interest rates of the past year have helped investment grade corporates and bank loans more than high yield bonds.
Ruminations on SEC Rulemaking
ICI General Counsel Susan Olson joins OUR Susan Olson to talk SEC rules, an aggressive rulemaking agenda, and implications for investment managers.
Disinflation Pipeline and the Phillips Curve Fed
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains why divergences in global monetary policy could be a key differentiator for asset class returns in 2023.
Runway for a Soft Landing?
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz discusses the equity market’s November pivot, signs of deflation, the Fed’s two-sided risks, and policy changes in China.
Expect Positive Trends for Corporate Bonds in 2023
Portfolio strategist Garrett Melson discusses improving valuations in fixed income, particularly investment grade corporate bond.
Outlook or Look Out! Macro Analysis for 2023
Portfolio strategists look ahead to the capital market forces in play for 2023, from inflation and Fed policy to asset headwinds, tailwinds and risks.
What’s Ahead for Global Equities in 2023?
Economic winds, US dollar strength making non-US assets more attractive, and sector standouts in global equities are covered by Vaughan Nelson’s CEO.
Is the Index Option Market Creating Volatility?
Gateway’s Chief Investment Strategist examines how the use of “zero days to expiration” index option strategies may be fueling equity market volatility.
Public Enemy #1: Inflation
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz reviews October’s positive stock market performance, mixed economic data, and the Fed’s ongoing battle to tame inflation.
Are Equities On Sale?
Gateway’s Chief Investment Strategist examines today’s low price-to-earnings ratio of the S&P 500® in the context of historical equity returns.
King Dollar and the Double Whammy
Portfolio Manager Jack Janasiewicz explains how the strong dollar, global energy shock, and no end in sight for rate hikes are roiling the capital markets.
Positioning Portfolios for Fading Inflation
As year-over-year inflation shows signs of peaking, investors may want to revisit portfolio allocations.
Monetary Policy Outlook Lifts Volatility Expectations
Gateway’s Chief Investment Strategist explains why higher implied volatility doesn’t necessarily imply persistently falling equity markets.
Are We There Yet? Pulse Check: Macro, Markets & Inflation
Portfolio strategists discuss topics including the path of inflation, supply chain dynamics, dollar strength and the markets’ reactions.
Market Drivers and Value in Global Equities
What’s on Vaughan Nelson’s shopping list for value stocks at midyear mark? CEO Chris Wallis talks market dynamics and areas of deep discounts.
A New Era? Volatility and Market Performance Since 1960
Gateway’s Chief Investment Strategist analyzes six decades of stock and bond returns, providing historical context for the first six months of 2022.
Strategist Outlook: The End of Easy Money
With recession looming, central bank policy is a linchpin in H2 prospects.
Welcome to the Meh Market
After a first half run-up, our market strategists think rate cuts are already priced in, leaving little to get excited about in the second half of 2019.