What deglobalization and rising cost of capital mean for equities
Geopolitical rivalry, super spike in oil, and European small-mid opportunities are being watched by Vaughan Nelson CEO.
- Invasion of Ukraine brings the geopolitical rivalry between US, Russia, and China to the foreground.
- Economic slowdown in 2022 may be more abrupt than expected due to the Ukraine crisis.
- Inflation should remain elevated, but decline later in the year.
- Energy prices probably don’t retreat significantly from current prices.
- If key infrastructure in Ukraine is damaged, a super spike in oil prices could occur.
- As the Federal Reserve begins to shrink its balance sheet, a drawdown in equities is expected.
- European small- and mid-cap securities may get a tailwind over the intermediate term.
- Could we see the euro strengthen against the dollar?
This material is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. The views and opinions expressed are as of March 31, 2022, and may change based on market and other conditions. There can be no assurance that developments will transpire as forecasted, and actual results may vary.
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Commodity-related investments, including derivatives, may be affected by a number of factors including commodity prices, world events, import controls, and economic conditions and therefore may involve substantial risk of loss.
Investments in small and midsize companies can be more volatile than those of larger companies.
Currency exchange rates between the US dollar and foreign currencies may cause the value of the fund's investments to decline.
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