Highlights

  • Growth: The slowdown continues. In Europe, recession seems inevitable but the extent is highly uncertain.
  • Inflation: The peak is reached but the future inflation regime will be higher than before.
  • Monetary policy: Monetary expectations are now in line with the expectations of central banks.
  • Fiscal policy: Market reaction to UK stimulus package is a warning to fiscal laxity.
Written on October 11, 2022.

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